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What is the Likelihood of Hurricanes by Month in Florida?

In Florida, the likelihood of hurricanes varies by month, with the official hurricane season running from June 1 to November 30. Here’s a breakdown of the hurricane risk by month:

1. June

  • Likelihood: Low to moderate
  • Overview: The start of the hurricane season. Storms during June tend to form in the Gulf of Mexico, the Caribbean, and the western Atlantic. Hurricanes in June are relatively rare, but tropical storms can develop.

2. July

  • Likelihood: Moderate
  • Overview: Activity begins to increase. The Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean are common storm breeding grounds. Hurricanes are still less frequent than later in the season.

3. August

  • Likelihood: High
  • Overview: This is when hurricane activity typically ramps up. The Atlantic becomes a major area for storm development, and the risk of hurricanes hitting Florida grows significantly, especially toward the latter half of the month.

4. September

  • Likelihood: Very high
  • Overview: September is the peak month of hurricane season. Historically, Florida experiences the most hurricanes during this month. The Atlantic Ocean is particularly active, and strong hurricanes are more likely.

5. October

  • Likelihood: High
  • Overview: Activity remains high, though it begins to taper off compared to September. Storms often form in the western Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico, and Florida’s location makes it susceptible to late-season hurricanes.

6. November

  • Likelihood: Low to moderate
  • Overview: By November, hurricane activity significantly decreases. However, late-season storms can still occur, especially in the Caribbean. It’s rare, but Florida can still see hurricanes this late in the season.

Summary of Hurricane Risk by Month:

  • June: Low to moderate
  • July: Moderate
  • August: High
  • September: Very high (peak of hurricane season)
  • October: High
  • November: Low to moderate

While September is the most active month, hurricanes and tropical storms can strike Florida at any time during the season, so it’s important to stay prepared throughout the entire period.

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